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	<title>complexitystudies &#187; statistics</title>
	<atom:link href="http://www.complexitystudies.org/category/statistics/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://www.complexitystudies.org</link>
	<description>metaphysics, philosophy, and a vision of the future</description>
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			<item>
		<title>On the safety of flying</title>
		<link>http://www.complexitystudies.org/2007/07/21/on-the-safety-of-flying/</link>
		<comments>http://www.complexitystudies.org/2007/07/21/on-the-safety-of-flying/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 21 Jul 2007 11:29:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>guenther</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[statistics]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://dao.complexitystudies.org/2007/07/21/on-the-safety-of-flying/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The post linked to below is actually about the safety of space shuttles, but I find another conclusion more interesting.
In the news you often hear that flying is safer than all other forms of travel, and this is true on a per kilometer basis. But not on a per hour basis (passenger hours vs. passenger [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The post linked to below is actually about the safety of space shuttles, but I find another conclusion more interesting.</p>
<p>In the news you often hear that flying is safer than all other forms of travel, and this is true on a per kilometer basis. But not on a per hour basis (passenger hours vs. passenger kilometers) where air travel is indeed slightly more dangerous. (The discrepancy results from planes travelling more kilometers per hour than a car, of course.)</p>
<p><a href="http://blog.sciam.com/index.php?title=want_to_get_from_point_a_to_point_b_in_o&#038;more=1&#038;c=1&#038;tb=1&#038;pb=1&#038;ref=rss">Want to get from point A to point B in one piece? Don&#8217;t take the shuttle.: Sciam Observations</a></p>
<p>So &#8211; getting from point A to B is safer by plane than by car &#8211; because the distance is fixed. But if you&#8217;re given the option between spending 8 hours in a plane or 8 hours in a car, the latter is safer.</p>

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<p class='technorati-tags'>Technorati Tags: <a class='technorati-link' href='http://technorati.com/tag/statistics' rel='tag' target='_self'>statistics</a></p>

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		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Significance testing &#8211; mostly useless</title>
		<link>http://www.complexitystudies.org/2007/06/24/significance-testing-mostly-useless/</link>
		<comments>http://www.complexitystudies.org/2007/06/24/significance-testing-mostly-useless/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 24 Jun 2007 20:56:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>guenther</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[statistics]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://dao.complexitystudies.org/2007/06/24/significance-testing-mostly-useless/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[One of my favourite pet topics is criticism of the current practice of statistical significance testing (which I found ridiculous from my first exposure to it). Here some reading on the feud:
Is significance testing all bad?



Technorati Tags: statistics


]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>One of my favourite pet topics is criticism of the current practice of statistical significance testing (which I found ridiculous from my first exposure to it). Here some reading on the feud:</p>
<p><a href="http://www.stat.columbia.edu/~cook/movabletype/archives/2007/06/is_significance.html">Is significance testing all bad?</a></p>

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<p class='technorati-tags'>Technorati Tags: <a class='technorati-link' href='http://technorati.com/tag/statistics' rel='tag' target='_self'>statistics</a></p>

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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Error bars</title>
		<link>http://www.complexitystudies.org/2007/03/30/error-bars/</link>
		<comments>http://www.complexitystudies.org/2007/03/30/error-bars/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 30 Mar 2007 11:34:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>guenther</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[statistics]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://dao.complexitystudies.org/2007/03/30/error-bars/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[To analyze data and also to critically review studies made by other people, one needs a good grasp of some basic concepts of statistics (and probability, but that is for another day). Here is a nice post about error bars: Cognitive Daily: I&#8217;ll bet you don&#8217;t understand error bars (updated with answers)



Technorati Tags: statistics


]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>To analyze data and also to critically review studies made by other people, one needs a good grasp of some basic concepts of statistics (and probability, but that is for another day). Here is a nice post about error bars: <a href="http://scienceblogs.com/cognitivedaily/2007/03/ill_bet_you_dont_understand_er.php">Cognitive Daily: I&#8217;ll bet you don&#8217;t understand error bars (updated with answers)</a></p>

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<p class='technorati-tags'>Technorati Tags: <a class='technorati-link' href='http://technorati.com/tag/statistics' rel='tag' target='_self'>statistics</a></p>

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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Statistical Significance</title>
		<link>http://www.complexitystudies.org/2007/03/20/statistical-significance/</link>
		<comments>http://www.complexitystudies.org/2007/03/20/statistical-significance/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 20 Mar 2007 19:51:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>guenther</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[statistics]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://dao.complexitystudies.org/2007/03/20/statistical-significance/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[This is a nice thing to keep in mind (often forgotten):
Statistical significance means only that the pattern of distribution and relationship between variables which is found in the data from a sample can be confidently generalized to the larger populattion from which the sample was randomly drawn. By itself, it does not ensure that the [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This is a nice thing to keep in mind (often forgotten):</p>
<blockquote><p>Statistical significance means only that the pattern of distribution and relationship between variables which is found in the data from a sample can be confidently generalized to the larger populattion from which the sample was randomly drawn. By itself, it does not ensure that the relationship is theoretically or practically important or even very large.</p></blockquote>
<p>From:</p>
<p><a href="http://www.georgetown.edu/faculty/ballc/webtools/web_chi_tut.html">Chi Square Tutorial</a></p>

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<p class='technorati-tags'>Technorati Tags: <a class='technorati-link' href='http://technorati.com/tag/statistics' rel='tag' target='_self'>statistics</a></p>

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		<item>
		<title>Visualization Methods</title>
		<link>http://www.complexitystudies.org/2007/02/27/visualization-methods/</link>
		<comments>http://www.complexitystudies.org/2007/02/27/visualization-methods/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 27 Feb 2007 18:51:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>guenther</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[complexity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[statistics]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://dao.complexitystudies.org/2007/02/27/visualization-methods/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Making sense of data requires visualization methods &#8211; here is an ingenious overview:
A Periodic Table of Visualization Methods



Technorati Tags: complexity, statistics


]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Making sense of data requires visualization methods &#8211; here is an ingenious overview:</p>
<p><a href="http://www.visual-literacy.org/periodic_table/periodic_table.html">A Periodic Table of Visualization Methods</a></p>

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<p class='technorati-tags'>Technorati Tags: <a class='technorati-link' href='http://technorati.com/tag/complexity' rel='tag' target='_self'>complexity</a>, <a class='technorati-link' href='http://technorati.com/tag/statistics' rel='tag' target='_self'>statistics</a></p>

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		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Rational Thinking</title>
		<link>http://www.complexitystudies.org/2007/02/23/rational-thinking/</link>
		<comments>http://www.complexitystudies.org/2007/02/23/rational-thinking/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 22 Feb 2007 23:54:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>guenther</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[bias]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cognitive science]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rationality]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[statistics]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://dao.complexitystudies.org/2007/02/23/rational-thinking/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Here some more links devoted to rational thinking, which I found on the site mentioned in the previous post and which are simply excellent:
Chance Welcome Page
Fallacy Files
Argument Mapping Tutorials



Technorati Tags: bias, cognitive science, rationality, statistics


]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Here some more links devoted to rational thinking, which I found on the site mentioned in the <a href="http://dao.complexitystudies.org/2007/02/22/research-publications/">previous </a>post and which are simply excellent:</p>
<p><a href="http://www.dartmouth.edu/~chance/index.html">Chance Welcome Page</a><br />
<a href="http://www.fallacyfiles.org/index.html">Fallacy Files</a><br />
<a href="http://www.austhink.com/reason/tutorials/">Argument Mapping Tutorials</a></p>

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<p class='technorati-tags'>Technorati Tags: <a class='technorati-link' href='http://technorati.com/tag/bias' rel='tag' target='_self'>bias</a>, <a class='technorati-link' href='http://technorati.com/tag/cognitive+science' rel='tag' target='_self'>cognitive science</a>, <a class='technorati-link' href='http://technorati.com/tag/rationality' rel='tag' target='_self'>rationality</a>, <a class='technorati-link' href='http://technorati.com/tag/statistics' rel='tag' target='_self'>statistics</a></p>

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		<item>
		<title>Truth is stranger than fiction</title>
		<link>http://www.complexitystudies.org/2007/02/13/truth-is-stranger-than-fiction/</link>
		<comments>http://www.complexitystudies.org/2007/02/13/truth-is-stranger-than-fiction/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 13 Feb 2007 21:22:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>guenther</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[statistics]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://dao.complexitystudies.org/2007/02/13/truth-is-stranger-than-fiction/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I can&#8217;t help but frequently link to the blog below, the entries are simply excellent. Although I should try to comment more in the future  
Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science: Truth is stranger than fiction



Technorati Tags: statistics


]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I can&#8217;t help but frequently link to the blog below, the entries are simply excellent. Although I should try to comment more in the future <img src='http://www.complexitystudies.org/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_smile.gif' alt=':-)' class='wp-smiley' /> </p>
<p><a href="http://www.stat.columbia.edu/~cook/movabletype/archives/2007/02/truth_is_strang.html">Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science: Truth is stranger than fiction</a></p>

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		<item>
		<title>The fallacy of the one-sided bet</title>
		<link>http://www.complexitystudies.org/2007/02/11/the-fallacy-of-the-one-sided-bet/</link>
		<comments>http://www.complexitystudies.org/2007/02/11/the-fallacy-of-the-one-sided-bet/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 10 Feb 2007 23:07:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>guenther</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[statistics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bayes]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://dao.complexitystudies.org/2007/02/11/the-fallacy-of-the-one-sided-bet/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science: The fallacy of the one-sided bet (for example, risk, God, torture, and lottery tickets)
A good post from a great blog!



Technorati Tags: bayes, statistics


]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.stat.columbia.edu/~cook/movabletype/archives/2007/02/the_fallacy_of.html">Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science: The fallacy of the one-sided bet (for example, risk, God, torture, and lottery tickets)</a></p>
<p>A good post from a great blog!</p>

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<p class='technorati-tags'>Technorati Tags: <a class='technorati-link' href='http://technorati.com/tag/bayes' rel='tag' target='_self'>bayes</a>, <a class='technorati-link' href='http://technorati.com/tag/statistics' rel='tag' target='_self'>statistics</a></p>

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		<item>
		<title>Why small samples make for bad science&#8230;</title>
		<link>http://www.complexitystudies.org/2007/01/22/why-small-samples-make-for-bad-science/</link>
		<comments>http://www.complexitystudies.org/2007/01/22/why-small-samples-make-for-bad-science/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 21 Jan 2007 23:48:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>guenther</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[statistics]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://dao.complexitystudies.org/2007/01/22/why-small-samples-make-for-bad-science/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The opinion that beauty in human faces is connected to symmetry is widely &#8220;known&#8221; but seems to be false:
Overcoming Bias: Symmetry Is Not Pretty



Technorati Tags: statistics


]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The opinion that beauty in human faces is connected to symmetry is widely &#8220;known&#8221; but seems to be false:<br />
<a href="http://www.overcomingbias.com/2007/01/symmetry_is_not.html">Overcoming Bias: Symmetry Is Not Pretty</a></p>

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		<item>
		<title>Bayesian inference and natural selection</title>
		<link>http://www.complexitystudies.org/2007/01/19/bayesian-inference-and-natural-selection/</link>
		<comments>http://www.complexitystudies.org/2007/01/19/bayesian-inference-and-natural-selection/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 18 Jan 2007 22:33:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>guenther</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[complexity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[statistics]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://dao.complexitystudies.org/2007/01/19/bayesian-inference-and-natural-selection/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[An interesting parallel between Bayes and Evolution: Social Science Statistics Blog: Bayesian inference and natural selection



Technorati Tags: complexity, statistics


]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>An interesting parallel between Bayes and Evolution: <a href="http://www.iq.harvard.edu/blog/sss/archives/2007/01/bayesian_infere.shtml">Social Science Statistics Blog: Bayesian inference and natural selection</a></p>

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